diff --git a/backtest.ipynb b/backtest.ipynb index 8f019e6..5f911da 100644 --- a/backtest.ipynb +++ b/backtest.ipynb @@ -7,8 +7,8 @@ "variableName$1": "dailies_df" }, "ExecuteTime": { - "end_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:47.059850Z", - "start_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:40.058469Z" + "end_time": "2026-01-28T02:33:12.682027Z", + "start_time": "2026-01-28T02:33:02.896258Z" } }, "cell_type": "code", @@ -199,18 +199,18 @@ "" ] }, - "execution_count": 110, + "execution_count": 1, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], - "execution_count": 110 + "execution_count": 1 }, { "metadata": { "ExecuteTime": { - "end_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:47.288743Z", - "start_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:47.107554Z" + "end_time": "2026-01-28T02:36:12.966661Z", + "start_time": "2026-01-28T02:36:12.867971Z" } }, "cell_type": "code", @@ -401,26 +401,28 @@ "" ] }, - "execution_count": 111, + "execution_count": 2, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], - "execution_count": 111 + "execution_count": 2 }, { "metadata": { "ExecuteTime": { - "end_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:47.649279Z", - "start_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:47.592859Z" + "end_time": "2026-01-28T02:38:15.259655Z", + "start_time": "2026-01-28T02:38:15.199743Z" } }, "cell_type": "code", "source": [ - "dailies_df['sma10'] = dailies_df['Close'].rolling(10).mean()\n", - "dailies_df['sma30'] = dailies_df['Close'].rolling(30).mean()\n", - "dailies_df['sma60'] = dailies_df['Close'].rolling(60).mean()\n", - "dailies_df['sma120'] = dailies_df['Close'].rolling(120).mean()\n", + "import talib\n", + "\n", + "dailies_df['sma10'] = talib.SMA(dailies_df['Close'], timeperiod=10)\n", + "dailies_df['sma30'] = talib.SMA(dailies_df['Close'], timeperiod=30)\n", + "dailies_df['sma60'] = talib.SMA(dailies_df['Close'], timeperiod=60)\n", + "dailies_df['sma120'] = talib.SMA(dailies_df['Close'], timeperiod=120)\n", "dailies_df.tail()" ], "id": "c558d68773d228c1", @@ -559,18 +561,18 @@ "" ] }, - "execution_count": 112, + "execution_count": 4, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], - "execution_count": 112 + "execution_count": 4 }, { "metadata": { "ExecuteTime": { - "end_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:48.525845Z", - "start_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:48.288567Z" + "end_time": "2026-01-28T02:38:37.507442Z", + "start_time": "2026-01-28T02:38:37.447793Z" } }, "cell_type": "code", @@ -715,18 +717,18 @@ "" ] }, - "execution_count": 113, + "execution_count": 5, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], - "execution_count": 113 + "execution_count": 5 }, { "metadata": { "ExecuteTime": { - "end_time": "2026-01-20T06:23:39.497068Z", - "start_time": "2026-01-20T06:23:39.478960Z" + "end_time": "2026-01-28T02:41:29.790184Z", + "start_time": "2026-01-28T02:41:29.742624Z" } }, "cell_type": "code", @@ -739,26 +741,24 @@ " def init(self):\n", " self.sma10 = self.I(lambda x: x, self.data.sma10)\n", " self.sma30 = self.I(lambda x: x, self.data.sma30)\n", - " # self.sma60 = self.I(lambda x: x, self.data.sma60)\n", + " self.sma60 = self.I(lambda x: x, self.data.sma60)\n", " # self.sma120 = self.I(lambda x: x, self.data.sma120)\n", "\n", " def next(self):\n", - " if crossover(self.data.sma10, self.data.sma30):\n", - " self.position.close()\n", + " if self.sma60 > 0 and crossover(self.data.sma10, self.data.sma30):\n", " self.buy()\n", - " elif crossover(self.data.sma30, self.data.sma10):\n", - " self.position.close()\n", - " self.sell()" + " elif self.position.size > 0 and crossover(self.data.sma30, self.data.sma10):\n", + " self.position.close()" ], "id": "b56aaaf4cad7bc7d", "outputs": [], - "execution_count": 127 + "execution_count": 13 }, { "metadata": { "ExecuteTime": { - "end_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:49.016553Z", - "start_time": "2026-01-20T06:18:49.003517Z" + "end_time": "2026-01-28T02:39:15.398782Z", + "start_time": "2026-01-28T02:39:15.372137Z" } }, "cell_type": "code", @@ -815,19 +815,25 @@ ], "id": "a23e811212958477", "outputs": [], - "execution_count": 115 + "execution_count": 7 }, { "metadata": { "ExecuteTime": { - "end_time": "2026-01-20T06:23:41.360832Z", - "start_time": "2026-01-20T06:23:41.286075Z" + "end_time": "2026-01-28T02:41:45.264982Z", + "start_time": "2026-01-28T02:41:45.179431Z" } }, "cell_type": "code", "source": [ "from backtesting import Backtest\n", "\n", + "import backtesting._plotting as plotting\n", + "from bokeh.colors.named import tomato, lime\n", + "\n", + "plotting.BULL_COLOR = tomato\n", + "plotting.BEAR_COLOR = lime\n", + "\n", "bt = Backtest(dailies_df, SmaCross, cash=100000, commission=.002, finalize_trades=True)\n", "stats = bt.run()\n", "stats_print(stats)" @@ -838,42 +844,171 @@ "name": "stdout", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ - "最终收益: 107164.5540\n", - "峰值收益: 110089.8234\n", - "总收益率（%）: 7.16\n", + "最终收益: 106401.5007\n", + "峰值收益: 114790.5427\n", + "总收益率（%）: 6.40\n", "买入并持有收益率（%）: 5.04\n", - "年化收益率（%）: 9.72\n", - "年化波动率（%）: 18.21\n", - "索提诺比率: 0.91\n", - "卡尔玛比率: 0.97\n", - "最大回撤（%）: -10.05\n", - "平均回撤（%）: -5.17\n", - "最大回撤持续时长: 155 days 00:00:00\n", - "平均回撤持续时长: 55 days 00:00:00\n", - "总交易次数: 5\n", - "胜率（%）: 40.00\n", - "系统质量数: 0.5772\n" + "年化收益率（%）: 8.67\n", + "年化波动率（%）: 12.75\n", + "索提诺比率: 1.11\n", + "卡尔玛比率: 1.19\n", + "最大回撤（%）: -7.31\n", + "平均回撤（%）: -2.59\n", + "最大回撤持续时长: 97 days 00:00:00\n", + "平均回撤持续时长: 29 days 00:00:00\n", + "总交易次数: 2\n", + "胜率（%）: 50.00\n", + "系统质量数: 0.4955\n" ] } ], - "execution_count": 128 + "execution_count": 14 }, { "metadata": { "ExecuteTime": { - "end_time": "2026-01-20T06:23:44.380577Z", - "start_time": "2026-01-20T06:23:43.872193Z" + "end_time": "2026-01-28T02:50:13.762168Z", + "start_time": "2026-01-28T02:50:13.715115Z" + } + }, + "cell_type": "code", + "source": [ + "stats._trades\n", + "# stats._equity_curve" + ], + "id": "d3e3b4d4836ab51b", + "outputs": [ + { + "data": { + "text/plain": [ + " Size EntryBar ExitBar EntryPrice ExitPrice SL TP PnL \\\n", + "0 66 27 53 1502.741016 1459.294422 None None -3258.463882 \n", + "1 66 85 140 1460.572263 1613.082672 None None 9659.964543 \n", + "\n", + " Commission ReturnPct EntryTime ExitTime Duration Tag Entry_λ(sma10) \\\n", + "0 390.988678 -0.032854 2025-02-18 2025-03-26 36 days None 1469.772718 \n", + "1 405.722451 0.100209 2025-05-15 2025-08-01 78 days None 1423.259306 \n", + "\n", + " Exit_λ(sma10) Entry_λ(sma30) Exit_λ(sma30) Entry_λ(sma60) Exit_λ(sma60) \n", + "0 1474.884082 1463.894650 1481.571450 1472.456184 1474.500730 \n", + "1 1635.881961 1413.973661 1644.448168 1447.112338 1566.764455 " + ], + "text/html": [ + "
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SizeEntryBarExitBarEntryPriceExitPriceSLTPPnLCommissionReturnPctEntryTimeExitTimeDurationTagEntry_λ(sma10)Exit_λ(sma10)Entry_λ(sma30)Exit_λ(sma30)Entry_λ(sma60)Exit_λ(sma60)
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